SoCalWeather.Net

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Aug 23, 2014
Nice calm, dry weather through Tuesday with highs near or a bit below normal across the region. Tropical moisture and storms may return to the region as early as Wednesday night as a powerful Hurricane now in Mexico moves north to somewhere between 500-800m iles off our coast.




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Wednesday morning powerful Thunderstorms taking place over Temecula, video shot by site owner Michael Mojarro.


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**Forecast: Saturday, August, 23rd, 2014, 4:30am**

Our last tropical tapping cutoff low produced 3000 lightning strikes in So Cal between Wednesday and Thursday, all occurring south and east of L.A county. This was the most lightning strikes recorded in our region from a single storm system in several years. Rainfall totals were very variable as expected due to their being so many thunderstorms, but several areas in the Inland Empire saw between .50-1.00" of rain, recording more then many mountain locations. If you have any photos of video of our recent storm please feel free to email them to me and I may post them here on the main page. Now onto our current weather. Things look to remain calm and dry through at least Tuesday next week with highs remaining near or a couple degrees below normal, mainly inland as far as below normal goes. Look for high temps each day in the 70s along the coast with some broken low clouds and fog hanging around through out each day, then upper 70s and 80s for the coastal valleys, and upper 80s and 90s for the Inland Empire. In the mountains look for 70s and 80s, with 100-110 in the deserts. Low each morning in the 50s and 60s west of the mountains, but chilly Sunday and Monday mornings in the mountains due to drier cold air dropping down from the great basin with lower 30s and 40s, parts of Big Bear may flirt with freezing for the first time since June.

Things get a bit more interesting and uncertain for the second half of next week as a powerful Hurricane developing down off Baja will swing into our coastal waters a good 500-800 miles offshore where unusually stormy conditions will be possible around Thursday next week for mariners. Depending if the storm is 500 miles offshore and 800 miles offshore when it reaches our waters will determine what kind of moisture we may see here on land because of it. Most computer models show at least some Monsoon moisture moving into our region between Wednesday and Thursday, possibly in the form of a southerly wave moving up from Baja. So at least a chance of thunderstorms in our mountains and deserts seems good for now through maybe as late as Friday. There is also a smaller chance that we could see some activity west of the mountains once again, something we have been seeing way more then normal this summer mainly due to warmer the normal waters off our coast in the 70s. This will be more of a concern if the now Hurricane which will either be a tropical storm or depression off our coast comes closer to shore, so it will be watched very carefully over the next several days as computer models have a tough time predicting the track of tropical systems several days out that come into our area. Highs pressure will build in a bit for the second half of the weak regardless, which means warmer temps at or a bit above normal. Looking further out at next weekend, things get very odd as some long range models show an early pre fall cold front moving down the coast into California around the 31st, typically not entirely unheard of as we head into September but the thing with this is all that deep tropical moisture from the Hurricane will still be off our coast, and computer runs show this cold front tapping into the moisture creating an almost Pineapple express like event for the norther part of the state, with rain possible all the way down into our region. This seems possible but not entirely likely, especially since its so far out, but will certainly be something to watch as this month of August has been way above normal rain wise for our region, especially for all areas south and east of L.A, so it wouldn't surprise me if it ended on a wet note. Stay updated for the latest!

2014/2015 Winter Outlook for be sent to all VIP members this Sunday night, and published for the general public here on th site on September 14th!

Site Owner/Forecaster, Michael Mojarro
webmaster@socalweather.net


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Disclaimer: Socalweather.net is a privately run weather site and all forecast and possible advisories issued in no way are related to the National Weather Service or any government agency but from the sole guidance of forecaster Michael Mojarro, weather can not be controlled and all forecast are to be followed at your own will.