101
FXUS66 KSGX 060941
AFDSGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Diego CA
241 AM PDT Wed May 6 2026

.SYNOPSIS...
Strengthening high pressure aloft will bring dry weather with a
substantial warming trend for inland areas through Monday of next
week with high temperatures for next Monday as much 12 to 18
degrees above average for the mountains, deserts, and far inland
valleys. The marine layer and weak onshore flow will keep coastal
areas cooler with much less warming than for inland areas. The
Heat Risk is expected to peak around Monday of next week with
major Heat Risk for the lower deserts and moderate Heat Risk for
the Inland Empire.

&&

.DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE...
SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTIES...

.SHORT TERM (Today through Friday)...
Strengthening high pressure aloft will bring dry weather with a
warming trend that will continue through Monday of next week. High
temperatures will warm as much as 15 to 20 degrees today for the
mountains. Inland areas will warm another 5 to 10 degrees on
Thursday and most areas will warm another few to around 5 degrees
on Friday.

With the warming, high temperatures on Friday will be a few
degrees above average near the coast to 8 to 12 degrees above
average for inland areas. High temperatures on Friday will range
from around 70 near the coast to the mid 80s to lower 90s for the
Inland Empire with 102 to 106 for the lower deserts.

While there will be substantial inland warming into next week,
onshore flow and the marine layer will keep coastal areas cooler
with much less warming than for inland areas. Night and morning
coastal low clouds will begin to return for tonight into Thursday
morning and continue into the weekend.

&&

.LONG TERM (Saturday through Tuesday)...
The warming will continue through Monday with high temperatures
on Monday as much as 12 to 18 degrees above average for the
mountains, deserts, and far inland valleys. High temperatures for
Monday of next week will range from the lower 70s near the coast
to the 90s to around 100 for the Inland Empire with the lower
deserts 105 to 110. Cooling will begin to spread inland on Tuesday
as high pressure aloft begins to weak and onshore lower-level
flow strengthens.

The peak of the Heat Risk for inland areas is on Monday of next
week, sufficient for an Extreme Heat Warning for the lower
deserts and possibly a Heat Advisory for the Inland Empire.
Tuesday will be nearly as hot as Monday for the lower deserts.

The heat is mostly expected to remain below record levels, but a
few mountain locations could set records for warmest low
temperatures during the weekend into early next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
060930Z....Coast/Valleys...SCT to locally BKN clouds
between 2500-6000 feet MSL will continue in somewhat random coverage
this morning. New cigs around 2500 feet MSL have a 30% chance of
developing in coastal areas before 15Z. Mostly clear skies after
16Z. Low clouds around 1500-2000 feet MSL to return vicinity KSAN 01-
5Z before spreading into all coastal areas by 12Z Thursday.

Mountains/Deserts...SCT to locally BKN low clouds based 3500-6000
feet MSL on coastal slopes through 16Z. SCT clouds between 9000-
12000 feet MSL over mountains 17-01Z.

&&

.MARINE...
No hazardous marine conditions are expected through Sunday.

&&

.SKYWARN...
Skywarn activation is not requested. However weather spotters are
encouraged to report significant weather conditions.

&&

.SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...None.
PZ...None.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...17
AVIATION/MARINE...MM

NWS San Diego (SGX) Office



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