362
FXUS65 KVEF 041952
AFDVEF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
1152 AM PST Wed Nov 4 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

* Seasonable temperatures and dry conditions will persist over the
  next week with a slight warming trend.

* A period of increased north winds can be expected Friday and
  Saturday through the Colorado River Valley.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Today through Tuesday...

A rather benign weather pattern will persist across the Desert
Southwest for the remainder of the week and weekend. This will
occur within a semi-progressive flow pattern. A compact shortwave
is in the process of moving across central Nevada today,
maintaining near to slightly below normal temperatures. This may
result in some breeziness mainly over the higher terrain, but
otherwise no impacts are expected. This feature will shift east
this evening with a more zonal flow pattern becoming established
into Thursday. Thereafter, a weak trough is expected to develop
across Utah into Arizona. This is depicted well in both
deterministic and ensemble guidance, with somewhat higher
confidence in occurrence. The result will be a northerly flow
pattern, which often favors breezy to windy conditions across the
Colorado River Valley. Friday and Saturday look to hold the
greatest potential of wind gusts of 35-45 mph or greater with
probabilities upwards of 60-80%. This may lead to hazardous
crosswinds for east-west oriented roads and lead to hazardous
boating conditions on area lakes.

Over the weekend and into early next week, medium range ensembles
are in generally good agreement in developing a prevalent upper
ridge across much of the western CONUS. This will result in a
warming trend entering next week with continued dry conditions.

&&

.AVIATION...For Harry Reid...For the 18Z Forecast Package...Winds
will remain relatively light from the north to northeast through the
afternoon, with only a 15 to 20 percent chance of seeing a brief
gust over 13 knots. Typical southwest to west drainage winds are
likely this evening before winds veer more to the north toward
sunrise. Light winds will continue on Thursday, with primarily
northerly directions expected. VFR conditions will prevail through
Thursday, with mainly clear skies today followed by SCT high clouds
with bases AOA 20kft AGL Thursday.

For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast
California...For the 18Z Forecast Package...Overall, light north to
northwest winds are expected across most of the region through the
TAF period. The exception will be in the Owens and Colorado River
Valleys, where while north winds are expected, occasional gusts to
20 knots are likely through sunset. Winds will diminish in all areas
overnight and remain light Thursday morning before gusty winds
return to the valleys mentioned above. VFR conditions will prevail
through Thursday, with mainly clear skies today followed by SCT high
clouds with bases AOA 20kft AGL Thursday.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report
any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating
procedures.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Austin
AVIATION...Planz

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NWS Las Vegas (VEF) Office